My approach is to take the team’s current DFS points/pa (ppa) and multiply by (the opposing pitcher’s DFS ppa divided by MLB average DFS ppa) in percentage.
FANDUEL MAIN SLATE
MLB FanDuel average is currently 2.19 ppa
Lineups to Stack (opposing pitcher’s ppa >115% MLB average)
- PIT (2.33 ppa) vs Eric Lauer SDP (153%) = Modified 3.57 ppa
- COL (2.14 ppa) vs Jeff Samardzija SFG (137%) = Modified 2.95 ppa
- LAA (2.29 ppa) vs Chris Archer TBR (122%) = Modified 2.80 ppa
- STL (2.09 ppa) vs Vince Velasquez PHI (117%) = Modified 2.45 ppa
Lineups to avoid (opposing pitcher’s ppa <85% MLB average)
- TBR (2.14 ppa) vs Tyler Skaggs LAA (82%) = Modified 1.76 ppa
- SEA (2.29 ppa) vs Matt Boyd DET (84%) = Modified 1.93 ppa
- SFG (2.10 ppa) vs Chad Bettis COL (85%) = Modified 1.78 ppa
DRAFTKINGS MAIN SLATE
MLB DraftKings average is currently 1.67 ppa
Lineups to Stack (opposing pitcher’s ppa >115% MLB average)
- PIT (1.77 ppa) vs Eric Lauer SDP (153%) = Modified 2.71 ppa
- COL (1.64 ppa) vs Jeff Samardzija SFG (135%) = Modified 2.22 ppa
- LAA (1.76 ppa) vs Chris Archer TBR (121%) = Modified 2.13 ppa
- STL (1.59 ppa) vs Vince Velasquez PHI (116%) = Modified 1.85 ppa
- DET (1.69 ppa) vs Marco Gonzales SEA (116%) = Modified 1.95 ppa
- SDP (1.53 ppa) vs Chad Kuhl PIT (115%) = Modified 1.75
Lineups to avoid (opposing pitcher’s ppa <85% MLB average)
- TBR (1.66 ppa) vs Tyler Skaggs LAA (85%) = Modified 1.41 ppa
- SEA (1.76 ppa) vs Matt Boyd DET (85%) = Modified 1.50 ppa
** Edited to correct error: Velasquez is pitching against STL not BAL.
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