Chris Spencer, Author at DraftBuddy.com

DFS Starting Pitchers Matchups – June 19, 2019

June 19, 2019 By Chris Spencer Leave a Comment

Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – June 19, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.

King of the Hill – Hill (LAD).
My value pick tonight is Williams (PIT) at home vs. the Tigers.
- The Tigers vs RHP on the road have allowed right-handed starting pitchers to average
  - 35.4 FanDuel ppg
  - 19.8 DraftKings ppg
- The Tigers vs RHP on the road have a 0.285 wOBA (3rd worst in MLB), 0.161 ISO (9th worst) and a 27.9 K% (MLB worst).
Stackables (in order of my preference):
- Early Slate – A’s and Astros.
- Main Slate – Twins, Angels & Rangers.
Small sample size alert! Rogers (BAL), Ponce de Leon (STL), Heaney (LAA), Palumbo (TEX) and Plutko (CLE) have each faced less than 100 batters this season.
NOTES:
- The 6:40pm Kansas City & Seattle game isn’t available on DraftKings.

DFS Pitchers Early Slate – June 19, 2019

Starting Pitcher	Opp
Starting Pitcher	Opp	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score
Blake Snell TBR	@ NYY	$9,800	107	38.38	$9,500	106	20.99
Gerrit Cole HOU	@ CIN	$12,000	104	34.62	$11,400	105	19.19
Zach Davies MIL	@ SDP	$7,100	109	32.73	$7,100	112	18.03
Chris Bassitt OAK	vs BAL	$6,900	106	32.38	$8,000	107	17.67
Matt Strahm SDP	vs MIL	$7,600	104	31.72	$6,900	104	16.70
Brad Keller KCR	@ SEA	$8,100	106	29.70	–	107	15.27
CC Sabathia NYY	vs TBR	$6,300	100	28.61	$6,300	100	14.73
Zach Eflin PHI	@ WSN	$8,800	99	28.28	$9,100	99	14.69
Marco Gonzales SEA	vs KCR	$7,300	105	27.85	–	106	14.19
Erick Fedde WSN	vs PHI	$5,900	101	25.54	$5,500	101	13.48
Tyler Mahle CIN	vs HOU	$6,200	90	20.48	$6,500	87	9.97
Josh Rogers BAL	@ OAK	$5,500	84	14.04	$4,300	82	5.84

DFS Pitchers Main Slate- June 19, 2019

Starting Pitcher	Opp
Starting Pitcher	Opp	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score
Rich Hill LAD	vs SFG	$9,600	114	43.33	$10,300	117	25.55
Daniel Ponce de Leon STL	vs MIA	$6,500	115	39.39	$7,800	118	22.70
Andrew Heaney LAA	@ TOR	$8,600	112	37.86	$8,500	115	22.46
Trevor Williams PIT	vs DET	$7,700	115	38.76	$7,300	118	21.75
Max Scherzer WSN	vs PHI	$11,700	106	38.71	$12,000	106	21.20
Zack Greinke ARI	vs COL	$9,400	103	32.58	$9,000	103	17.78
Jon Lester CHC	vs CHW	$7,500	107	31.66	$7,400	109	17.09
Lucas Giolito CHW	@ CHC	$11,200	102	30.57	$11,300	101	16.20
Kyle Gibson MIN	vs BOS	$8,000	100	29.79	$8,800	100	16.05
Jon Gray COL	@ ARI	$8,200	101	29.64	$8,000	101	15.63
Max Fried ATL	vs NYM	$6,800	103	28.09	$6,100	103	14.38
Steven Matz NYM	@ ATL	$7,800	96	26.86	$6,900	95	13.68
Trevor Richards MIA	@ STL	$7,900	102	26.76	$7,100	102	13.42
Nick Pivetta PHI	@ WSN	$7,800	98	25.77	$8,200	98	13.12
Joseph Palumbo TEX	vs CLE	$6,000	98	23.74	$5,500	98	11.92
Eduardo Rodriguez BOS	@ MIN	$8,400	87	23.50	$7,500	84	11.61
Jordan Zimmermann DET	@ PIT	$5,900	98	22.78	$7,000	97	10.89
Drew Pomeranz SFG	@ LAD	$7,000	93	21.35	$6,200	91	10.38
Adam Plutko CLE	@ TEX	$8,300	90	19.96	$5,900	88	9.21
Aaron Sanchez TOR	vs LAA	$5,800	90	17.71	$5,000	88	8.08

** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”

My Method

Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:

The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
Home/away splits
Ballpark Factor
Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)

If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.

DFS Starting Pitchers Matchups – June 18, 2019

June 18, 2019 By Chris Spencer Leave a Comment

Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – June 18, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.

King of the Hill – Kershaw (LAD).
My value pick tonight is Flaherty (STL) at home vs. the Marlins.
- The Marlins vs RHP on the road have allowed right-handed starting pitchers to average
  - 34.4 FanDuel ppg
  - 19.3 DraftKings ppg
- The Marlins vs RHP on the road have a 0.288 wOBA (4th worst in MLB), 0.121 ISO (MLB worst) and a 24.3 K% (11th worst).
- Flaherty in 7 home starts has a 2.25 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and struck out 29.0% of the batters he faced.
Stackables (in order of my preference): Dodgers, Astros & Rangers.
Small sample size alert! Keller (PIT), Yamamoto (MIA) and Plesac (CLE) have each faced less than 100 batters this season. Allen (SDP) is making his MLB debut.
NOTES:
- Allen (SDP) is not available on FanDuel.

DFS Pitchers – June 18, 2019

Starting Pitcher	Opp
Starting Pitcher	Opp	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score
Clayton Kershaw LAD	vs SFG	$10,700	112	42.38	$11,200	116	24.36
Mitch Keller PIT	vs DET	$5,500	114	39.18	$6,900	117	22.14
Jack Flaherty STL	vs MIA	$8,000	115	37.18	$8,700	118	21.15
Brandon Woodruff MIL	@ SDP	$9,300	113	36.75	$9,300	115	20.69
Cole Hamels CHC	vs CHW	$8,600	111	36.87	$10,500	112	20.43
Justin Verlander HOU	@ CIN	$12,000	103	36.09	$11,900	104	20.30
Logan Allen SDP	vs MIL	–	103	35.00	$7,700	103	18.85
Patrick Corbin WSN	vs PHI	$9,400	104	33.65	$8,200	105	18.28
Tyler Skaggs LAA	@ TOR	$7,600	108	32.70	$8,500	112	18.61
Julio Teheran ATL	vs NYM	$8,200	105	31.13	$9,500	105	16.51
Adrian Sampson TEX	vs CLE	$7,200	102	29.26	$7,800	103	15.70
Merrill Kelly ARI	vs COL	$8,300	102	28.69	$8,000	102	15.15
J.A. Happ NYY	vs TBR	$7,900	101	28.08	$7,500	101	14.50
Homer Bailey KCR	@ SEA	$6,800	105	27.51	$6,700	106	14.44
Jacob deGrom NYM	@ ATL	$10,400	98	27.27	$10,300	96	13.68
Yusei Kikuchi SEA	vs KCR	$6,000	106	26.75	$5,300	108	13.76
Michael Pineda MIN	vs BOS	$6,600	97	25.70	$7,300	97	13.50
Jordan Yamamoto MIA	@ STL	$7,500	102	25.97	$8,300	102	12.85
Jake Arrieta PHI	@ WSN	$7,900	98	26.01	$7,300	98	12.80
Brett Anderson OAK	vs BAL	$7,000	103	25.56	$6,200	104	12.62
Antonio Senzatela COL	@ ARI	$6,300	97	24.24	$4,900	97	12.02
David Price BOS	@ MIN	$9,000	88	23.86	$9,100	85	12.14
Daniel Norris DET	@ PIT	$6,200	102	22.17	$5,700	101	10.93
Marcus Stroman TOR	vs LAA	$7,400	91	21.04	$8,100	88	10.03
Ivan Nova CHW	@ CHC	$5,800	95	20.68	$5,000	94	9.35
Gabriel Ynoa BAL	@ OAK	$5,600	96	19.35	$4,500	95	9.47
Zach Plesac CLE	@ TEX	$7,800	90	19.73	$7,900	89	9.18
Shaun Anderson SFG	@ LAD	$7,300	90	19.77	$6,600	87	8.80
Ryne Stanek TBR	@ NYY	$4,000	96	18.66	$4,200	95	9.27
Anthony DeSclafani CIN	vs HOU	$6,400	87	18.31	$7,100	84	8.71

** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”

My Method

The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
Home/away splits
Ballpark Factor
Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)

DFS Starting Pitchers Matchups – June 17, 2019

June 17, 2019 By Chris Spencer Leave a Comment

Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – June 17, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.

King of the Hill – Corbin (WSN).
My value pick tonight is Milone (SEA) vs. Kansas City. NOTE: he will be following opener Gerson Bautista.
- The Royals on the road vs RHP have a 0.274 wOBA (3rd worst in MLB), 0.125 ISO (5th worst) and a 27.3 K% (5th worst).
- The Royals allow right-handed starting pitchers at home to average 32.3 FanDuel ppg and 17.2 DraftKings ppg.
Stackables (in order of my preference): Dodgers, Twins and Rays.
Small sample size alert! Hernandez (MIA) and Clevinger (CLE) have each faced less than 100 batters this season.

DFS Pitchers – June 17, 2019

Starting Pitcher	Opp
Starting Pitcher	Opp	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score
Patrick Corbin WSN	vs PHI	$9,400	104	35.07	$8,200	105	19.05
** Tommy Milone SEA	vs KCR	$6,400	109	33.10	$6,900	111	19.42
Mike Soroka ATL	vs NYM	$10,200	107	34.48	$10,500	107	18.52
Miles Mikolas STL	vs MIA	$7,000	112	33.84	$6,400	115	18.73
** Felix Pena LAA	@ TOR	$6,600	108	32.69	$6,700	111	19.24
Lance Lynn TEX	vs CLE	$9,300	104	33.90	$9,500	104	17.84
Joey Lucchesi SDP	vs MIL	$8,100	105	32.39	$8,600	105	17.69
Jhoulys Chacin MIL	@ SDP	$6,300	109	30.59	$6,900	111	16.73
Jose Berrios MIN	vs BOS	$9,600	98	30.67	$10,300	99	16.23
Wade Miley HOU	@ CIN	$8,400	100	28.66	$8,400	101	15.10
Mike Fiers OAK	vs BAL	$7,600	105	27.99	$7,700	106	14.93
Kenta Maeda LAD	vs SFG	$8,600	104	27.75	$9,000	106	15.02
Danny Duffy KCR	@ SEA	$7,300	99	26.81	$7,500	100	13.80
Jake Arrieta PHI	@ WSN	$7,900	98	26.79	$7,300	98	13.17
Zack Wheeler NYM	@ ATL	$9,200	97	26.50	$9,200	96	13.08
Luis Castillo CIN	vs HOU	$10,000	92	25.26	$10,000	89	12.77
Yonny Chirinos TBR	@ NYY	$6,500	96	24.25	$8,800	95	12.66
Elieser Hernandez MIA	@ STL	$6,100	101	23.54	$5,900	100	11.36
Masahiro Tanaka NYY	vs TBR	$9,000	95	23.27	$8,000	93	11.14
Andrew Cashner BAL	@ OAK	$6,500	96	22.36	$6,200	95	10.91
Mike Clevinger CLE	@ TEX	$9,800	95	22.13	$8,700	93	10.58
Rick Porcello BOS	@ MIN	$7,200	86	18.63	$7,000	83	8.57
Tyler Beede SFG	@ LAD	$5,700	88	17.13	$5,400	85	7.22
Edwin Jackson TOR	vs LAA	$5,600	87	14.18	$4,200	85	5.93

** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”

My Method

The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
Home/away splits
Ballpark Factor
Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)